Chael Sonnen vs Shamil Gamzatov
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
31-17-1Record14-2-0
Light HeavyweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
6'1"Height6'2"
73"Reach76"
205 lbsWeight205 lbs
Team QuestTeamRussian Top Team
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+12→ 1684
If they lose-12→ 1660
If they win+16→ 1686
If they lose-16→ 1654
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1763 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1578 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Chael SonnenShamil Gamzatov
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Shamil Gamzatov52%
Chael Sonnen 48%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Shamil Gamzatov a 52% favorite over Chael Sonnen in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Chael Sonnen's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1672 vs 1670), separated by just 2 points.
Chael Sonnen enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Shamil Gamzatov enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Chael Sonnen finishes 39% of wins inside the distance, Shamil Gamzatov 71%.
Shamil Gamzatov carries a 3-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.