Chael Sonnen vs Trevor Prangley
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
31-17-1Record34-11-2
Light HeavyweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
6'1"Height6'0"
73"ReachTBD
205 lbsWeight205 lbs
Team QuestTeamAmerican Kickboxing Academy
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+12→ 1684
If they lose-12→ 1660
If they win+12→ 1698
If they lose-12→ 1674
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1763 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1516 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Chael SonnenTrevor Prangley
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Chael Sonnen53%
Trevor Prangley 47%Elo baseline: 48%
The Combat Edge model makes Chael Sonnen a 53% favorite over Trevor Prangley in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Trevor Prangley's way (48%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1672 vs 1686), separated by just 14 points.
Chael Sonnen enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Chael Sonnen finishes 39% of wins inside the distance, Trevor Prangley 65%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.