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Combat Edge Intelligence

Chan Soo Park vs Clay Guida

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Clay Guida
us

Clay Guida

“The Carpenter”

38-25-0LightweightUFC

1598Solid

Tale of the tape

9-3-1Record38-25-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'10"Height5'7"
TBDReach70"
155 lbsWeight155 lbs
DIA MMATeamTeam Alpha Male· 1645 avg Elo · 20 rated

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Chan Soo ParkNow 1597
If they win+16→ 1613
If they lose-16→ 1581
Clay GuidaNow 1598
If they win+12→ 1610
If they lose-12→ 1586

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1508 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1671 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

Not available
Sig. strikes / min
2.63
Not available
Strike accuracy
34%
Not available
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3
Not available
Strike defense
61%
Not available
Takedown avg.
3.10
Not available
Takedown accuracy
22%
Not available
Takedown defense
66%
Not available
Submission avg.
0.61

Trajectory

Chan Soo ParkClay Guida
1550160016502023202420252026

Win method breakdown

3 (33%)
KO/TKO
7 (19%)
0 (0%)
Submission
14 (38%)
6 (67%)
Decision
16 (43%)

Combat Edge model read

Clay Guida54%
Chan Soo Park 46%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Clay Guida a 54% favorite over Chan Soo Park in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1597 vs 1598), separated by just 1 points.

Clay Guida enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Chan Soo Park finishes 33% of wins inside the distance, Clay Guida 57%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.