Chan Sung Jung vs Yair Rodriguez
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
17-8-0Record20-5-0
FeatherweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'9"Height5'11"
72"Reach71"
145 lbsWeight145 lbs
Fight ReadyTeamValle Flow Striking· 1672 avg Elo · 3 rated
What's at stake
Yair Rodriguez is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +12 while a loss costs more — Chan Sung Jung carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+15→ 1673
If they lose-9→ 1649
If they win+12→ 1763
If they lose-20→ 1731
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1743 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1736 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Chan Sung JungYair Rodriguez
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Yair Rodriguez75%
Chan Sung Jung 25%Elo baseline: 63%
The Combat Edge model makes Yair Rodriguez a 75% favorite over Chan Sung Jung in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (63%).
Yair Rodriguez holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1751 to 1658, a 93-point edge.
Chan Sung Jung enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Chan Sung Jung finishes 82% of wins inside the distance, Yair Rodriguez 65%.
Chan Sung Jung and Yair Rodriguez share 4 common opponents: Max Holloway, Alexander Volkanovski, Brian Ortega and Frankie Edgar.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.