Combat Edge Intelligence

Chance Farrar vs Don Shainis

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Don Shainis
us

Don Shainis

“Shameless”

15-8-0FeatherweightCFC

1578Solid

Tale of the tape

8-3-0Record15-8-0
FeatherweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'9"Height5'6"
TBDReach67"
145 lbsWeight145 lbs
TeamCitadel Martial Arts & Fitness

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Chance FarrarNow 1578
If they win+16→ 1594
If they lose-16→ 1562
Don ShainisNow 1578
If they win+16→ 1594
If they lose-16→ 1562

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1534 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1555 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

0.81
Sig. strikes / min
3.42
22%
Strike accuracy
50%
2.21
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
5.87
68%
Strike defense
31%
3.02
Takedown avg.
0.97
100%
Takedown accuracy
25%
0%
Takedown defense
20%
0
Submission avg.
1.94

Trajectory

Chance FarrarDon Shainis
155016001650200820092010201120122013201420152016201720182019202020212022202320242025

Win method breakdown

6 (75%)
KO/TKO
8 (53%)
1 (13%)
Submission
3 (20%)
1 (13%)
Decision
4 (27%)

Combat Edge model read

The Combat Edge model rates this a near coin-flip, splitting Chance Farrar and Don Shainis within a point of even.

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1578 vs 1578), separated by just 0 points.

Chance Farrar finishes 88% of wins inside the distance, Don Shainis 73%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.