Combat Edge Intelligence

Chance Rencountre vs Kyle Stewart

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

16-5-0Record15-6-0
WelterweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'2"Height5'10"
75,0"Reach42,0"
170 lbsWeight185 lbs
Alliance MMATeamMMA Lab

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Chance RencountreNow 1649
If they win+16→ 1665
If they lose-16→ 1633
Kyle StewartNow 1646
If they win+16→ 1662
If they lose-16→ 1630

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1590 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1597 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

1.10
Sig. strikes / min
1.41
21%
Strike accuracy
35%
3.62
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.42
49%
Strike defense
43%
1.35
Takedown avg.
1.32
27%
Takedown accuracy
20%
17%
Takedown defense
60%
0.34
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Chance RencountreKyle Stewart
1650202020212022

Win method breakdown

6 (38%)
KO/TKO
7 (47%)
5 (31%)
Submission
3 (20%)
5 (31%)
Decision
5 (33%)

Combat Edge model read

Kyle Stewart53%
Chance Rencountre 47%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Kyle Stewart a 53% favorite over Chance Rencountre in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Chance Rencountre's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1649 vs 1646), separated by just 3 points.

Chance Rencountre finishes 69% of wins inside the distance, Kyle Stewart 67%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.