Chance Rencountre vs Tamerlan Dulatov
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
16-5-0Record6-0-0
WelterweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'2"Height6'4"
75,0"Reach75"
170 lbsWeight179 lbs
Alliance MMA· 1651 avg Elo · 5 ratedTeam
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1666
If they lose-16→ 1634
If they win+24→ 1675
If they lose-24→ 1627
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1591 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1521 · 6 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Chance RencountreTamerlan Dulatov
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Tamerlan Dulatov63%
Chance Rencountre 37%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Tamerlan Dulatov a 63% favorite over Chance Rencountre in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1650 vs 1651), separated by just 1 points.
Tamerlan Dulatov enters on a 6-fight win streak.
Chance Rencountre finishes 69% of wins inside the distance, Tamerlan Dulatov 100%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.