Combat Edge Intelligence

Charalampos Grigoriou vs Shota Nagano

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

8-4-0Record12-6-0
BantamweightDivisionBantamweight
5'7"Height5'5"
67.00"Reach-
135 lbsWeight133 lbs
Longo and Weidman MMATeamReversal Gym Musashi Kosugi Tokoro Plus

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Charalampos GrigoriouNow 1581
If they win+16→ 1597
If they lose-16→ 1565
Shota NaganoNow 1582
If they win+16→ 1598
If they lose-16→ 1566

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1544 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1501 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

2.62
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
49%
Strike accuracy
TBD
3.97
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
47%
Strike defense
TBD
2.62
Takedown avg.
TBD
80%
Takedown accuracy
TBD
91%
Takedown defense
TBD
0
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Charalampos GrigoriouShota Nagano
1550160020222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

6 (75%)
KO/TKO
1 (8%)
0 (0%)
Submission
6 (50%)
2 (25%)
Decision
5 (42%)

Combat Edge model read

Shota Nagano82%
Charalampos Grigoriou 18%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Shota Nagano a 82% favorite over Charalampos Grigoriou in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1581 vs 1582), separated by just 1 points.

Charalampos Grigoriou enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Shota Nagano enters on a 3-fight win streak.

Charalampos Grigoriou finishes 75% of wins inside the distance, Shota Nagano 58%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.