Combat Edge Intelligence

Charles Byrd vs Darren Stewart

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Charles Byrd
us

Charles Byrd

“Kid Dynamite”

10-7-0MiddleweightUFC

1569Solid
Darren Stewart

Darren Stewart

“The Dentist”

16-10-0Light HeavyweightCWFC

1617Solid

Tale of the tape

10-7-0Record16-10-0
MiddleweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
5'10"Height6'0"
39,0"ReachTBD
185 lbsWeight195 lbs
Fortis MMATeamThe MMA Clinic

What's at stake

Darren Stewart is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +10 while a loss costs more — Charles Byrd carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Charles ByrdNow 1569
If they win+18→ 1587
If they lose-14→ 1555
Darren StewartNow 1617
If they win+10→ 1627
If they lose-14→ 1603

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1590 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1576 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.43
Sig. strikes / min
3.05
56%
Strike accuracy
46%
2.63
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.29
56%
Strike defense
49%
2.50
Takedown avg.
1.75
50%
Takedown accuracy
45%
40%
Takedown defense
68%
1.50
Submission avg.
0.12

Trajectory

Charles ByrdDarren Stewart
1550160016502018201920202021202220232024

Win method breakdown

3 (30%)
KO/TKO
9 (56%)
5 (50%)
Submission
1 (6%)
2 (20%)
Decision
6 (38%)

Combat Edge model read

Darren Stewart70%
Charles Byrd 30%Elo baseline: 57%

The Combat Edge model makes Darren Stewart a 70% favorite over Charles Byrd in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (57%).

Darren Stewart holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1617 to 1569, a 48-point edge.

Charles Byrd enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Charles Byrd finishes 80% of wins inside the distance, Darren Stewart 63%.

Charles Byrd and Darren Stewart share 1 common opponent: Maki Pitolo.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.

Common opponents (1)

LossTKO · 2020
Maki Pitolo
WinSubmission · 2020