Charles Byrd vs John Phillips
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
10-7-0Record22-11-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
5'10"Height5'11"
39,0"Reach75,0"
185 lbsWeight185 lbs
Fortis MMATeamSBG Ireland
What's at stake
John Phillips is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +10 while a loss costs more — Charles Byrd carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+18→ 1587
If they lose-14→ 1555
If they win+10→ 1633
If they lose-14→ 1609
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1590 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1583 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Charles ByrdJohn Phillips
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
John Phillips70%
Charles Byrd 30%Elo baseline: 58%
The Combat Edge model makes John Phillips a 70% favorite over Charles Byrd in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (58%).
John Phillips holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1623 to 1569, a 54-point edge.
Charles Byrd enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
John Phillips enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Charles Byrd finishes 80% of wins inside the distance, John Phillips 100%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.