Combat Edge Intelligence

Charles Johnson vs Cody Durden

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Cody Durden
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Cody Durden

“Custom Made”

18-10-1FlyweightUFC

1637Solid

Tale of the tape

19-9-0Record18-10-1
FlyweightDivisionFlyweight
5'9"Height5'7"
70"Reach67"
125 lbsWeight135 lbs
Murcielago MMATeamAmerican Top Team Atlanta

What's at stake

Charles Johnson is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +10 while a loss costs more — Cody Durden carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Charles JohnsonNow 1692
If they win+10→ 1702
If they lose-14→ 1678
Cody DurdenNow 1637
If they win+14→ 1651
If they lose-10→ 1627

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1697 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1673 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

4.77
Sig. strikes / min
3.24
50%
Strike accuracy
45%
4.02
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.94
56%
Strike defense
51%
0.51
Takedown avg.
3.99
17%
Takedown accuracy
10%
69%
Takedown defense
57%
0.34
Submission avg.
0.65

Trajectory

Charles JohnsonCody Durden
16501700202420252026

Win method breakdown

8 (42%)
KO/TKO
6 (33%)
3 (16%)
Submission
6 (33%)
8 (42%)
Decision
6 (33%)

Combat Edge model read

Charles Johnson67%
Cody Durden 33%Elo baseline: 58%

The Combat Edge model makes Charles Johnson a 67% favorite over Cody Durden in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (58%).

Charles Johnson holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1692 to 1637, a 55-point edge.

Charles Johnson finishes 58% of wins inside the distance, Cody Durden 67%.

Charles Johnson and Cody Durden share 3 common opponents: Bruno Silva, Joshua Van and Jake Hadley.

Charles Johnson carries a 3-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.

Common opponents (3)

WinKO/TKO · 2024
Joshua Van
LossDecision (unanimous) · 2024
WinDecision (split) · 2026
Bruno Silva
LossTKO · 2024
WinDecision - Unanimous · 2024
Jake Hadley
WinDecision - Unanimous · 2023