Charles Johnson vs Joshua Van
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
20-9-0Record18-2-0
FlyweightDivisionFlyweight
5'9"Height5'5"
70"Reach65"
125 lbsWeight125 lbs
Murcielago MMA· 1670 avg Elo · 6 ratedTeam4oz. Fight Club· 1605 avg Elo · 9 rated
What's at stake
Joshua Van is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +11 while a loss costs more — Charles Johnson carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+16→ 1723
If they lose-8→ 1699
If they win+11→ 1828
If they lose-21→ 1796
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1694 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1711 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Charles JohnsonJoshua Van
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Joshua Van74%
Charles Johnson 26%Elo baseline: 65%
The Combat Edge model makes Joshua Van a 74% favorite over Charles Johnson in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (65%).
Joshua Van holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1817 to 1707, a 110-point edge.
Joshua Van enters on a 8-fight win streak.
Charles Johnson finishes 60% of wins inside the distance, Joshua Van 61%.
Charles Johnson and Joshua Van share 1 common opponent: Bruno Silva.
Charles Johnson carries a 5-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.