Charles Johnson vs Karlos Vémola
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
20-9-0Record39-9-0
FlyweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
5'9"Height6'0"
70"Reach75"
125 lbsWeight205 lbs
Murcielago MMA· 1667 avg Elo · 6 ratedTeamLondon Shootfighters
What's at stake
Karlos Vémola is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +11 while a loss costs more — Charles Johnson carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+13→ 1720
If they lose-11→ 1696
If they win+11→ 1742
If they lose-13→ 1718
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1694 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1605 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Charles JohnsonKarlos Vémola
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Charles Johnson58%
Karlos Vémola 42%Elo baseline: 47%
The Combat Edge model makes Charles Johnson a 58% favorite over Karlos Vémola in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Karlos Vémola's way (47%).
Karlos Vémola holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1731 to 1707, a 24-point edge.
Karlos Vémola enters on a 2-fight win streak.
Charles Johnson finishes 60% of wins inside the distance, Karlos Vémola 77%.
Karlos Vémola carries a 5-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.