Charles Johnson vs Nkosi Ndebele
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
20-9-0Record14-3-0
FlyweightDivisionBantamweight
5'9"Height5'10"
70"Reach75"
125 lbsWeight135 lbs
Murcielago MMA· 1670 avg Elo · 6 ratedTeamNova MMA Academy
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+12→ 1719
If they lose-12→ 1695
If they win+16→ 1723
If they lose-16→ 1691
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1694 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1592 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Charles JohnsonNkosi Ndebele
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
The Combat Edge model rates this a near coin-flip, splitting Charles Johnson and Nkosi Ndebele within a point of even.
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1707 vs 1707), separated by just 0 points.
Nkosi Ndebele enters on a 6-fight win streak.
Charles Johnson finishes 60% of wins inside the distance, Nkosi Ndebele 50%.
Nkosi Ndebele carries a 5-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.