Charles Johnson vs Zhalgas Zhumagulov
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
19-9-0Record19-9-0
FlyweightDivisionFlyweight
5'9"Height5'4"
70"Reach66"
125 lbsWeight125 lbs
Murcielago MMATeamAmerican Top Team
What's at stake
Charles Johnson is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +10 while a loss costs more — Zhalgas Zhumagulov carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+10→ 1702
If they lose-14→ 1678
If they win+18→ 1657
If they lose-14→ 1625
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1697 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1581 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Charles JohnsonZhalgas Zhumagulov
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Charles Johnson70%
Zhalgas Zhumagulov 30%Elo baseline: 58%
The Combat Edge model makes Charles Johnson a 70% favorite over Zhalgas Zhumagulov in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (58%).
Charles Johnson holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1692 to 1639, a 53-point edge.
Zhalgas Zhumagulov enters on a 5-fight win streak.
Charles Johnson finishes 58% of wins inside the distance, Zhalgas Zhumagulov 53%.
Charles Johnson and Zhalgas Zhumagulov share 1 common opponent: Joshua Van.
Charles Johnson carries a 4-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.