Combat Edge Intelligence

Charles Jourdain vs Shane Burgos

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

18-8-1Record16-5-0
FeatherweightDivisionLightweight
5'9"Height5'11"
69"Reach75"
145 lbsWeight155 lbs
Academie Pro Star MMATeamTeam Tiger Schulmann

What's at stake

Shane Burgos is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +15 while a loss costs more — Charles Jourdain carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Charles JourdainNow 1715
If they win+13→ 1728
If they lose-11→ 1704
Shane BurgosNow 1733
If they win+15→ 1748
If they lose-17→ 1716

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1682 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1703 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

5.48
Sig. strikes / min
7.40
49%
Strike accuracy
52%
4.25
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
6.78
57%
Strike defense
56%
0.33
Takedown avg.
0.43
21%
Takedown accuracy
44%
47%
Takedown defense
92%
0.66
Submission avg.
0.43

Trajectory

Charles JourdainShane Burgos
16501700175020222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

8 (44%)
KO/TKO
5 (31%)
7 (39%)
Submission
5 (31%)
3 (17%)
Decision
6 (38%)

Combat Edge model read

Charles Jourdain60%
Shane Burgos 40%Elo baseline: 47%

The Combat Edge model makes Charles Jourdain a 60% favorite over Shane Burgos in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Shane Burgos's way (47%).

Shane Burgos holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1733 to 1715, a 18-point edge.

Charles Jourdain enters on a 3-fight win streak.

Charles Jourdain finishes 83% of wins inside the distance, Shane Burgos 63%.

Shane Burgos carries a 6-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.