Charles McCarthy vs Gideon Ray
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
10-5-0Record17-15-1
MiddleweightDivisionWelterweight
5'10"Height5'10"
TBDReachTBD
185 lbsWeight170 lbs
American Top TeamTeamMMA Masters Chicago
What's at stake
Charles McCarthy is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +11 while a loss costs more — Gideon Ray carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+11→ 1605
If they lose-21→ 1573
If they win+16→ 1505
If they lose-8→ 1481
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1529 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1538 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Charles McCarthyGideon Ray
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Charles McCarthy63%
Gideon Ray 37%Elo baseline: 65%
The Combat Edge model makes Charles McCarthy a 63% favorite over Gideon Ray in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (65%).
Charles McCarthy holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1594 to 1489, a 105-point edge.
Gideon Ray enters on a 4-fight loss streak.
Charles McCarthy finishes 100% of wins inside the distance, Gideon Ray 94%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.