Charles Oliveira vs Darren Elkins
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
37-11-0Record29-12-0
LightweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'10"Height5'10"
74"Reach71"
155 lbsWeight145 lbs
Chute Boxe Diego LimaTeamDuneland Vale Tudo
What's at stake
Charles Oliveira is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +8 while a loss costs more — Darren Elkins carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+8→ 1820
If they lose-16→ 1796
If they win+16→ 1715
If they lose-8→ 1691
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1766 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1652 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Charles OliveiraDarren Elkins
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Charles Oliveira79%
Darren Elkins 21%Elo baseline: 66%
The Combat Edge model makes Charles Oliveira a 79% favorite over Darren Elkins in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (66%).
Charles Oliveira holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1812 to 1699, a 113-point edge.
Charles Oliveira enters on a 2-fight win streak.
Charles Oliveira finishes 86% of wins inside the distance, Darren Elkins 52%.
Charles Oliveira carries a 3-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.