Combat Edge Intelligence

Charles Oliveira vs Efrain Escudero

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

37-11-0Record32-17-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'10"Height5'9"
74"Reach70,0"
155 lbsWeight155 lbs
Chute Boxe Diego LimaTeamMMA Lab

What's at stake

Charles Oliveira is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +6 while a loss costs more — Efrain Escudero carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Charles OliveiraNow 1812
If they win+6→ 1818
If they lose-18→ 1794
Efrain EscuderoNow 1604
If they win+18→ 1622
If they lose-6→ 1598

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1766 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1544 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.35
Sig. strikes / min
2.92
55%
Strike accuracy
45%
3.24
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.30
49%
Strike defense
63%
2.22
Takedown avg.
1.31
40%
Takedown accuracy
41%
55%
Takedown defense
67%
2.61
Submission avg.
0.81

Trajectory

Charles OliveiraEfrain Escudero
1600170018002023202420252026

Win method breakdown

10 (27%)
KO/TKO
2 (6%)
22 (59%)
Submission
16 (50%)
5 (14%)
Decision
14 (44%)

Combat Edge model read

Charles Oliveira92%
Efrain Escudero 8%Elo baseline: 77%

The Combat Edge model makes Charles Oliveira a 92% favorite over Efrain Escudero in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (77%).

Charles Oliveira holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1812 to 1604, a 208-point edge.

Charles Oliveira enters on a 2-fight win streak.

Charles Oliveira finishes 86% of wins inside the distance, Efrain Escudero 56%.

Charles Oliveira carries a 4-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.