Combat Edge Intelligence

Charles Oliveira vs Eric Wisely

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Eric Wisely
us

Eric Wisely

“Little Lee”

33-9-1LightweightCAMMA

1709Good

Tale of the tape

37-11-0Record33-9-1
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'10"Height5'8"
74"ReachTBD
155 lbsWeight155 lbs
Chute Boxe Diego LimaTeamTeam Conquest

What's at stake

Charles Oliveira is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +9 while a loss costs more — Eric Wisely carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Charles OliveiraNow 1812
If they win+9→ 1821
If they lose-15→ 1797
Eric WiselyNow 1709
If they win+15→ 1724
If they lose-9→ 1700

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1766 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1477 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.35
Sig. strikes / min
1.42
55%
Strike accuracy
47%
3.24
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.08
49%
Strike defense
57%
2.22
Takedown avg.
0
40%
Takedown accuracy
0%
55%
Takedown defense
27%
2.61
Submission avg.
0.95

Trajectory

Charles OliveiraEric Wisely
1650170017501800201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

10 (27%)
KO/TKO
14 (50%)
22 (59%)
Submission
5 (18%)
5 (14%)
Decision
9 (32%)

Combat Edge model read

Charles Oliveira83%
Eric Wisely 17%Elo baseline: 64%

The Combat Edge model makes Charles Oliveira a 83% favorite over Eric Wisely in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (64%).

Charles Oliveira holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1812 to 1709, a 103-point edge.

Charles Oliveira enters on a 2-fight win streak.

Eric Wisely enters on a 10-fight win streak.

Charles Oliveira finishes 86% of wins inside the distance, Eric Wisely 68%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.