Charles Oliveira vs Frankie Edgar
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
37-11-0Record24-11-1
LightweightDivisionBantamweight
5'10"Height5'6"
74"Reach 68"
155 lbsWeight136 lbs
Chute Boxe Diego LimaTeamRicardo Almeida Jiu-Jitsu
What's at stake
Charles Oliveira is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +8 while a loss costs more — Frankie Edgar carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+8→ 1820
If they lose-16→ 1796
If they win+16→ 1708
If they lose-8→ 1684
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1766 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1719 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Charles OliveiraFrankie Edgar
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Charles Oliveira84%
Frankie Edgar 16%Elo baseline: 67%
The Combat Edge model makes Charles Oliveira a 84% favorite over Frankie Edgar in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (67%).
Charles Oliveira holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1812 to 1692, a 120-point edge.
Charles Oliveira enters on a 2-fight win streak.
Frankie Edgar enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Charles Oliveira finishes 86% of wins inside the distance, Frankie Edgar 46%.
Charles Oliveira and Frankie Edgar share 1 common opponent: Max Holloway.
Charles Oliveira carries a 6-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.