Charles Oliveira vs Jared Gordon
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
Compare any two fighters →
Tale of the tape
37-11-0Record21-9-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'10"Height5'9"
74"Reach68"
155 lbsWeight156 lbs
Chute Boxe Diego LimaTeamKill Cliff FC
What's at stake
Charles Oliveira is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +8 while a loss costs more — Jared Gordon carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+8→ 1820
If they lose-16→ 1796
If they win+16→ 1694
If they lose-8→ 1670
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1767 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1705 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Charles OliveiraJared Gordon
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Charles Oliveira75%
Jared Gordon 25%Elo baseline: 68%
The Combat Edge model makes Charles Oliveira a 75% favorite over Jared Gordon in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (68%).
Charles Oliveira holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1812 to 1678, a 134-point edge.
Charles Oliveira enters on a 2-fight win streak.
Jared Gordon enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Charles Oliveira finishes 86% of wins inside the distance, Jared Gordon 48%.
Charles Oliveira carries a 6-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.