Charles Oliveira vs Paul Felder
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
Compare any two fighters →
Tale of the tape
37-11-0Record17-6-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'10"Height5'10"
74"Reach70,5"
155 lbsWeight155 lbs
Chute Boxe Diego LimaTeamRoufusport
What's at stake
Charles Oliveira is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +9 while a loss costs more — Paul Felder carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+9→ 1821
If they lose-15→ 1797
If they win+15→ 1749
If they lose-9→ 1725
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1766 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1667 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Charles OliveiraPaul Felder
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Charles Oliveira76%
Paul Felder 24%Elo baseline: 61%
The Combat Edge model makes Charles Oliveira a 76% favorite over Paul Felder in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (61%).
Charles Oliveira holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1812 to 1734, a 78-point edge.
Charles Oliveira enters on a 2-fight win streak.
Paul Felder enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Charles Oliveira finishes 86% of wins inside the distance, Paul Felder 65%.
Charles Oliveira carries a 4-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.