Combat Edge Intelligence

Charles Oliveira vs Ricardo Lamas

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

37-11-0Record20-8-0
LightweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'10"Height5'8"
74"Reach71"
155 lbsWeight145 lbs
Chute Boxe Diego LimaTeamMMA Masters

What's at stake

Charles Oliveira is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +9 while a loss costs more — Ricardo Lamas carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Charles OliveiraNow 1812
If they win+9→ 1821
If they lose-15→ 1797
Ricardo LamasNow 1730
If they win+15→ 1745
If they lose-9→ 1721

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1766 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1715 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.35
Sig. strikes / min
3.13
55%
Strike accuracy
47%
3.24
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.87
49%
Strike defense
58%
2.22
Takedown avg.
1.84
40%
Takedown accuracy
34%
55%
Takedown defense
47%
2.61
Submission avg.
0.95

Trajectory

Charles OliveiraRicardo Lamas
17501800201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

10 (27%)
KO/TKO
6 (30%)
22 (59%)
Submission
5 (25%)
5 (14%)
Decision
9 (45%)

Combat Edge model read

Charles Oliveira78%
Ricardo Lamas 22%Elo baseline: 62%

The Combat Edge model makes Charles Oliveira a 78% favorite over Ricardo Lamas in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (62%).

Charles Oliveira holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1812 to 1730, a 82-point edge.

Charles Oliveira enters on a 2-fight win streak.

Charles Oliveira finishes 86% of wins inside the distance, Ricardo Lamas 55%.

Charles Oliveira and Ricardo Lamas share 1 common opponent: Max Holloway.

Charles Oliveira carries a 3-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.

Common opponents (1)

WinDecision (unanimous) · 2026
Max Holloway
LossDEC · 2016