Combat Edge Intelligence

Charles Rosa vs Damon Jackson

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Charles Rosa
us

Charles Rosa

“Boston Strong”

19-8-0Featherweight

1666Good

Tale of the tape

19-8-0Record23-8-1
FeatherweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'10"Height5'11"
69"Reach 71"
145 lbsWeight145 lbs
American Combat GymTeamFortis MMA

What's at stake

Damon Jackson is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +11 while a loss costs more — Charles Rosa carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Charles RosaNow 1666
If they win+13→ 1679
If they lose-11→ 1655
Damon JacksonNow 1683
If they win+11→ 1694
If they lose-13→ 1670

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1584 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1683 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.08
Sig. strikes / min
2.96
36%
Strike accuracy
43%
3.86
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.47
47%
Strike defense
49%
1.67
Takedown avg.
2.30
35%
Takedown accuracy
33%
38%
Takedown defense
38%
1
Submission avg.
1.20

Trajectory

Charles RosaDamon Jackson
16501700202220232024

Win method breakdown

5 (26%)
KO/TKO
4 (17%)
11 (58%)
Submission
15 (65%)
3 (16%)
Decision
4 (17%)

Combat Edge model read

Damon Jackson58%
Charles Rosa 42%Elo baseline: 52%

The Combat Edge model makes Damon Jackson a 58% favorite over Charles Rosa in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (52%).

Damon Jackson holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1683 to 1666, a 17-point edge.

Charles Rosa enters on a 4-fight win streak.

Damon Jackson enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Charles Rosa finishes 84% of wins inside the distance, Damon Jackson 83%.

Damon Jackson carries a 2-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.