Charles Rosa vs Kevin Aguilar
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
19-8-0Record17-5-0
FeatherweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'10"Height5'7"
69"ReachTBD
145 lbsWeight145 lbs
American Combat GymTeamLongview MMA
What's at stake
Kevin Aguilar is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +15 while a loss costs more — Charles Rosa carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+13→ 1679
If they lose-11→ 1655
If they win+15→ 1700
If they lose-17→ 1668
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1584 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1652 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Charles RosaKevin Aguilar
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Kevin Aguilar70%
Charles Rosa 30%Elo baseline: 53%
The Combat Edge model makes Kevin Aguilar a 70% favorite over Charles Rosa in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (53%).
Kevin Aguilar holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1685 to 1666, a 19-point edge.
Charles Rosa enters on a 4-fight win streak.
Kevin Aguilar enters on a 4-fight loss streak.
Charles Rosa finishes 84% of wins inside the distance, Kevin Aguilar 65%.
Charles Rosa and Kevin Aguilar share 1 common opponent: Damon Jackson.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.