Combat Edge Intelligence

Charles Rosa vs Kyle Bochniak

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Charles Rosa
us

Charles Rosa

“Boston Strong”

19-8-0Featherweight

1666Good

Tale of the tape

19-8-0Record11-7-0
FeatherweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'10"Height5'7"
69"Reach38,5"
145 lbsWeight145 lbs
American Combat GymTeamBroadway Jiu-Jitsu

What's at stake

Charles Rosa is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +10 while a loss costs more — Kyle Bochniak carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Charles RosaNow 1666
If they win+10→ 1676
If they lose-14→ 1652
Kyle BochniakNow 1614
If they win+18→ 1632
If they lose-14→ 1600

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1584 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1645 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.08
Sig. strikes / min
2.63
36%
Strike accuracy
31%
3.86
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
5.11
47%
Strike defense
58%
1.67
Takedown avg.
1.14
35%
Takedown accuracy
15%
38%
Takedown defense
63%
1
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Charles RosaKyle Bochniak
1600165020202021202220232024

Win method breakdown

5 (26%)
KO/TKO
2 (18%)
11 (58%)
Submission
2 (18%)
3 (16%)
Decision
7 (64%)

Combat Edge model read

The Combat Edge model rates this a near coin-flip, splitting Charles Rosa and Kyle Bochniak within a point of even.

Charles Rosa holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1666 to 1614, a 52-point edge.

Charles Rosa enters on a 4-fight win streak.

Kyle Bochniak enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Charles Rosa finishes 84% of wins inside the distance, Kyle Bochniak 36%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.