Combat Edge Intelligence

Charles Rosa vs Manny Bermudez

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Charles Rosa
us

Charles Rosa

“Boston Strong”

19-8-0Featherweight

1666Good
Manny Bermudez
us

Manny Bermudez

“The Bermudez Triangle”

15-2-0FeatherweightNEF

1718Good

Tale of the tape

19-8-0Record15-2-0
FeatherweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'10"Height5'6"
69"Reach40,0"
145 lbsWeight145 lbs
American Combat GymTeamSouth Shore Sportfighting

What's at stake

Manny Bermudez is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +14 while a loss costs more — Charles Rosa carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Charles RosaNow 1666
If they win+14→ 1680
If they lose-10→ 1656
Manny BermudezNow 1718
If they win+14→ 1732
If they lose-18→ 1700

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1584 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1579 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.08
Sig. strikes / min
2.92
36%
Strike accuracy
61%
3.86
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.68
47%
Strike defense
47%
1.67
Takedown avg.
3.06
35%
Takedown accuracy
55%
38%
Takedown defense
0%
1
Submission avg.
3.06

Trajectory

Charles RosaManny Bermudez
1650170017502018201920202021202220232024

Win method breakdown

5 (26%)
KO/TKO
1 (7%)
11 (58%)
Submission
12 (80%)
3 (16%)
Decision
2 (13%)

Combat Edge model read

Manny Bermudez72%
Charles Rosa 28%Elo baseline: 57%

The Combat Edge model makes Manny Bermudez a 72% favorite over Charles Rosa in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (57%).

Manny Bermudez holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1718 to 1666, a 52-point edge.

Charles Rosa enters on a 4-fight win streak.

Charles Rosa finishes 84% of wins inside the distance, Manny Bermudez 87%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.