Combat Edge Intelligence

Charles Rosa vs Sean Soriano

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Charles Rosa
us

Charles Rosa

“Boston Strong”

19-8-0Featherweight

1666Good

Tale of the tape

19-8-0Record15-9-0
FeatherweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'10"Height5'9"
69"Reach70"
145 lbsWeight145 lbs
American Combat GymTeamKill Cliff FC

What's at stake

Charles Rosa is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +9 while a loss costs more — Sean Soriano carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Charles RosaNow 1666
If they win+9→ 1675
If they lose-15→ 1651
Sean SorianoNow 1569
If they win+20→ 1589
If they lose-12→ 1557

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1584 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1558 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.08
Sig. strikes / min
3.18
36%
Strike accuracy
62%
3.86
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.14
47%
Strike defense
56%
1.67
Takedown avg.
1.33
35%
Takedown accuracy
56%
38%
Takedown defense
53%
1
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Charles RosaSean Soriano
15501600165020202021202220232024

Win method breakdown

5 (26%)
KO/TKO
8 (53%)
11 (58%)
Submission
4 (27%)
3 (16%)
Decision
3 (20%)

Combat Edge model read

Charles Rosa63%
Sean Soriano 37%Elo baseline: 64%

The Combat Edge model makes Charles Rosa a 63% favorite over Sean Soriano in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (64%).

Charles Rosa holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1666 to 1569, a 97-point edge.

Charles Rosa enters on a 4-fight win streak.

Sean Soriano enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Charles Rosa finishes 84% of wins inside the distance, Sean Soriano 80%.

Charles Rosa and Sean Soriano share 1 common opponent: Jonathan Gary.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.

Common opponents (1)

WinSubmission (Guillotine Choke) · 2023
Jonathan Gary
WinRear Naked Choke · 2018