Charlie Brenneman vs Erick Maia
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
19-8-0Record9-4-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'10"Height5'6"
TBDReach-
155 lbsWeight155 lbs
AMA Fight ClubTeamLabareda Team
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+12→ 1612
If they lose-12→ 1588
If they win+16→ 1617
If they lose-16→ 1585
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1559 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1531 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Charlie BrennemanErick Maia
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Erick Maia66%
Charlie Brenneman 34%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Erick Maia a 66% favorite over Charlie Brenneman in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1600 vs 1601), separated by just 1 points.
Charlie Brenneman enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Erick Maia enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Charlie Brenneman finishes 53% of wins inside the distance, Erick Maia 89%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.