Charlie Brenneman vs Erick Silva
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
19-8-0Record20-11-0
LightweightDivisionWelterweight
5'10"Height5'11"
TBDReach74"
155 lbsWeight170 lbs
AMA Fight ClubTeamTeam Nogueira· 1598 avg Elo · 7 rated
What's at stake
Charlie Brenneman is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +11 while a loss costs more — Erick Silva carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+11→ 1611
If they lose-13→ 1587
If they win+18→ 1575
If they lose-14→ 1543
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1558 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1656 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Charlie BrennemanErick Silva
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Erick Silva62%
Charlie Brenneman 38%Elo baseline: 44%
The Combat Edge model makes Erick Silva a 62% favorite over Charlie Brenneman in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Charlie Brenneman's way (44%).
Charlie Brenneman holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1600 to 1557, a 43-point edge.
Charlie Brenneman enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Erick Silva enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Charlie Brenneman finishes 53% of wins inside the distance, Erick Silva 85%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.