Charlie Brenneman vs Kyle Noke
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
19-8-0Record22-10-1
LightweightDivisionWelterweight
5'10"Height6'1"
TBDReach76,0"
155 lbsWeight170 lbs
AMA Fight ClubTeamJackson-Wink MMA
What's at stake
Kyle Noke is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +11 while a loss costs more — Charlie Brenneman carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+13→ 1612
If they lose-11→ 1588
If they win+11→ 1651
If they lose-13→ 1627
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1557 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1661 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Charlie BrennemanKyle Noke
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Kyle Noke54%
Charlie Brenneman 46%Elo baseline: 56%
The Combat Edge model makes Kyle Noke a 54% favorite over Charlie Brenneman in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (56%).
Kyle Noke holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1640 to 1599, a 41-point edge.
Charlie Brenneman enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Kyle Noke enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Charlie Brenneman finishes 53% of wins inside the distance, Kyle Noke 73%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.