Combat Edge Intelligence

Charlie Campbell vs Marc Diakiese

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

9-3-0Record18-8-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
6'0"Height5'10"
72"Reach73"
155 lbsWeight155 lbs
Longo-Weidman MMATeamGreat Britain Top Team

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Charlie CampbellNow 1640
If they win+16→ 1656
If they lose-16→ 1624
Marc DiakieseNow 1640
If they win+12→ 1652
If they lose-12→ 1628

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1557 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1632 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

5.55
Sig. strikes / min
2.54
54%
Strike accuracy
40%
3.73
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.64
55%
Strike defense
53%
2.95
Takedown avg.
3.29
40%
Takedown accuracy
10%
71%
Takedown defense
67%
0
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Charlie CampbellMarc Diakiese
160016501700202320242025

Win method breakdown

6 (67%)
KO/TKO
6 (33%)
0 (0%)
Submission
1 (6%)
3 (33%)
Decision
11 (61%)

Combat Edge model read

Charlie Campbell60%
Marc Diakiese 40%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Charlie Campbell a 60% favorite over Marc Diakiese in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1640 vs 1640), separated by just 0 points.

Charlie Campbell finishes 67% of wins inside the distance, Marc Diakiese 39%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.