Combat Edge Intelligence

Charlie Campbell vs Vicente Vargas

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

9-3-0Record24-8-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
6'0"Height5'8"
72"Reach-
155 lbsWeight147 lbs
Longo-Weidman MMATeamTeam Ludus

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Charlie CampbellNow 1644
If they win+16→ 1660
If they lose-16→ 1628
Vicente VargasNow 1645
If they win+12→ 1657
If they lose-12→ 1633

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1565 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1520 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

5.55
Sig. strikes / min
Not available
54%
Strike accuracy
Not available
3.73
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
Not available
55%
Strike defense
Not available
2.95
Takedown avg.
Not available
40%
Takedown accuracy
Not available
71%
Takedown defense
Not available
0
Submission avg.
Not available

Trajectory

Charlie CampbellVicente Vargas
16001650202420252026

Win method breakdown

6 (67%)
KO/TKO
2 (9%)
0 (0%)
Submission
5 (22%)
3 (33%)
Decision
16 (70%)

Combat Edge model read

Charlie Campbell54%
Vicente Vargas 46%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Charlie Campbell a 54% favorite over Vicente Vargas in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Vicente Vargas's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1644 vs 1645), separated by just 1 points.

Charlie Campbell finishes 67% of wins inside the distance, Vicente Vargas 30%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.