Combat Edge Intelligence

Charlie Cleveland vs Gable Steveson

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

6-1-0Record4-0-0
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'2"Height6'1"
77"Reach74"
248 lbsWeight265 lbs

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Charlie ClevelandNow 1607
If they win+24→ 1631
If they lose-24→ 1583
Gable StevesonNow 1605
If they win+24→ 1629
If they lose-24→ 1581

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1483 · 7 fightsPre-fight Elo1511 · 4 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
16.29
TBD
Strike accuracy
72%
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
5.17
TBD
Strike defense
61%
TBD
Takedown avg.
0
TBD
Takedown accuracy
0%
TBD
Takedown defense
0%
TBD
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Charlie ClevelandGable Steveson
155016002026

Win method breakdown

4 (67%)
KO/TKO
4 (100%)
1 (17%)
Submission
0 (0%)
1 (17%)
Decision
0 (0%)

Combat Edge model read

The Combat Edge model rates this a near coin-flip, splitting Charlie Cleveland and Gable Steveson within a point of even.

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1607 vs 1605), separated by just 2 points.

Charlie Cleveland enters on a 4-fight win streak.

Gable Steveson enters on a 4-fight win streak.

Charlie Cleveland finishes 83% of wins inside the distance, Gable Steveson 100%.

Charlie Cleveland carries a 3-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.