Charlie Cleveland vs Gabriel Lourenço
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
Compare any two fighters →
Tale of the tape
6-2-0Record8-1-0
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'2"Height6'2"
75"Reach76"
248 lbsWeight265 lbs
Demolition Fight TeamTeamChute Boxe· 1684 avg Elo · 5 rated
What's at stake
Gabriel Lourenço is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +18 while a loss costs more — Charlie Cleveland carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+30→ 1608
If they lose-18→ 1560
If they win+18→ 1683
If they lose-30→ 1635
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1497 · 8 fightsPre-fight Elo1511 · 9 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Charlie ClevelandGabriel Lourenço
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Gabriel Lourenço68%
Charlie Cleveland 32%Elo baseline: 62%
The Combat Edge model makes Gabriel Lourenço a 68% favorite over Charlie Cleveland in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (62%).
Gabriel Lourenço holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1665 to 1578, a 87-point edge.
Gabriel Lourenço enters on a 8-fight win streak.
Charlie Cleveland finishes 83% of wins inside the distance, Gabriel Lourenço 88%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.