Charlie Cleveland vs Gabriel Lourenço
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
6-1-0Record7-1-0
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'2"Height6'3"
77"Reach-
248 lbsWeight265 lbs
Demolition Fight TeamTeamChute Boxe· 1677 avg Elo · 5 rated
What's at stake
Gabriel Lourenço is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +22 while a loss costs more — Charlie Cleveland carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+26→ 1633
If they lose-22→ 1585
If they win+22→ 1659
If they lose-26→ 1611
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1483 · 7 fightsPre-fight Elo1494 · 8 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Charlie ClevelandGabriel Lourenço
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
The Combat Edge model rates this a near coin-flip, splitting Charlie Cleveland and Gabriel Lourenço within a point of even.
Gabriel Lourenço holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1637 to 1607, a 30-point edge.
Charlie Cleveland enters on a 4-fight win streak.
Gabriel Lourenço enters on a 7-fight win streak.
Charlie Cleveland finishes 83% of wins inside the distance, Gabriel Lourenço 86%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.