Combat Edge Intelligence

Charlie Kohler vs David Zawada

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

8-4-1Record20-13-0
WelterweightDivisionMiddleweight
5'9"Height6'0"
TBDReach75"
165 lbsWeight185 lbs
San Diego Fight ClubTeamUFD Gym

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Charlie KohlerNow 1561
If they win+16→ 1577
If they lose-16→ 1545
David ZawadaNow 1560
If they win+12→ 1572
If they lose-12→ 1548

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1519 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1612 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

0.81
Sig. strikes / min
3.84
33%
Strike accuracy
41%
4.31
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
4.54
47%
Strike defense
56%
0
Takedown avg.
0.97
0%
Takedown accuracy
17%
0%
Takedown defense
57%
4.04
Submission avg.
1.69

Trajectory

Charlie KohlerDavid Zawada
1500155016002005200620072008200920102011201220132014201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

2 (25%)
KO/TKO
12 (60%)
5 (63%)
Submission
5 (25%)
1 (13%)
Decision
3 (15%)

Combat Edge model read

The Combat Edge model rates this a near coin-flip, splitting Charlie Kohler and David Zawada within a point of even.

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1561 vs 1560), separated by just 1 points.

Charlie Kohler finishes 88% of wins inside the distance, David Zawada 85%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.