Charlie Kohler vs James Vake
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
8-4-1Record7-3-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
5'9"Height5'11"
TBDReach74"
165 lbsWeight170 lbs
San Diego Fight ClubTeamCity Kickboxing
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1577
If they lose-16→ 1545
If they win+24→ 1582
If they lose-24→ 1534
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1519 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1521 · 9 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Charlie KohlerJames Vake
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
James Vake60%
Charlie Kohler 40%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes James Vake a 60% favorite over Charlie Kohler in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Charlie Kohler's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1561 vs 1558), separated by just 3 points.
James Vake enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Charlie Kohler finishes 88% of wins inside the distance, James Vake 71%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.