Charlie Ontiveros vs Kevin Holland
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
Compare any two fighters →
Tale of the tape
11-9-0Record29-15-0
LightweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'2"Height6'3"
74"Reach81"
155 lbsWeight185 lbs
W4R Training CenterTeamPhalanx MMA Academy
What's at stake
Kevin Holland is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +5 while a loss costs more — Charlie Ontiveros carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+25→ 1546
If they lose-7→ 1514
If they win+5→ 1741
If they lose-19→ 1717
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1538 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1740 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Charlie OntiverosKevin Holland
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Kevin Holland92%
Charlie Ontiveros 8%Elo baseline: 78%
The Combat Edge model makes Kevin Holland a 92% favorite over Charlie Ontiveros in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (78%).
Kevin Holland holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1736 to 1521, a 215-point edge.
Charlie Ontiveros enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Charlie Ontiveros finishes 60% of wins inside the distance, Kevin Holland 79%.
Kevin Holland carries a 7-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.