Combat Edge Intelligence

Charlie Ontiveros vs Tenya Yoshimura

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

11-9-0Record5-4-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
6'2"Height5'11"
74"Reach-
155 lbsWeight156 lbs
W4R Training Center· 1622 avg Elo · 4 ratedTeamWajutsu Keishukai Hearts

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Charlie OntiverosNow 1521
If they win+16→ 1537
If they lose-16→ 1505
Tenya YoshimuraNow 1522
If they win+24→ 1546
If they lose-24→ 1498

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1538 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1516 · 9 fights

Tracked stat edges

1.89
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
41%
Strike accuracy
TBD
5.86
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
31%
Strike defense
TBD
0
Takedown avg.
TBD
TBD
Takedown accuracy
TBD
30%
Takedown defense
TBD
0
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Charlie OntiverosTenya Yoshimura
155016002020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

4 (40%)
KO/TKO
3 (60%)
2 (20%)
Submission
1 (20%)
4 (40%)
Decision
1 (20%)

Combat Edge model read

Tenya Yoshimura66%
Charlie Ontiveros 34%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Tenya Yoshimura a 66% favorite over Charlie Ontiveros in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1521 vs 1522), separated by just 1 points.

Charlie Ontiveros enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Tenya Yoshimura enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Charlie Ontiveros finishes 60% of wins inside the distance, Tenya Yoshimura 80%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.