Charlie Valencia vs Ivan Menjivar
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
12-7-0Record25-12-0
BantamweightDivisionBantamweight
5'3"Height5'6"
TBDReachTBD
135 lbsWeight135 lbs
Millennia MMATeamTristar Gym
What's at stake
Ivan Menjivar is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +11 while a loss costs more — Charlie Valencia carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+18→ 1631
If they lose-14→ 1599
If they win+11→ 1657
If they lose-13→ 1633
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1640 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1640 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Charlie ValenciaIvan Menjivar
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Ivan Menjivar57%
Charlie Valencia 43%Elo baseline: 55%
The Combat Edge model makes Ivan Menjivar a 57% favorite over Charlie Valencia in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (55%).
Ivan Menjivar holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1646 to 1613, a 33-point edge.
Charlie Valencia enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Ivan Menjivar enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Charlie Valencia finishes 50% of wins inside the distance, Ivan Menjivar 76%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.