Combat Edge Intelligence

Charlie Ward vs David Zawada

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →
Charlie Ward
ie

Charlie Ward

“Relentless”

10-7-0MiddleweightBFC

1559Solid

Tale of the tape

10-7-0Record20-13-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
5'11"Height6'0"
42,0"Reach75"
185 lbsWeight185 lbs
SBG IrelandTeamUFD Gym

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Charlie WardNow 1559
If they win+16→ 1575
If they lose-16→ 1543
David ZawadaNow 1560
If they win+12→ 1572
If they lose-12→ 1548

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1524 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1612 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

1.64
Sig. strikes / min
3.84
19%
Strike accuracy
41%
7.21
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
4.54
53%
Strike defense
56%
0
Takedown avg.
0.97
0%
Takedown accuracy
17%
0%
Takedown defense
57%
0
Submission avg.
1.69

Trajectory

Charlie WardDavid Zawada
15501600202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

6 (60%)
KO/TKO
12 (60%)
0 (0%)
Submission
5 (25%)
4 (40%)
Decision
3 (15%)

Combat Edge model read

David Zawada70%
Charlie Ward 30%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes David Zawada a 70% favorite over Charlie Ward in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1559 vs 1560), separated by just 1 points.

Charlie Ward enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Charlie Ward finishes 60% of wins inside the distance, David Zawada 85%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.