Charlie Ward vs James Vake
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
10-7-0Record7-3-0
MiddleweightDivisionWelterweight
5'11"Height5'11"
42,0"Reach74"
185 lbsWeight170 lbs
SBG IrelandTeamCity Kickboxing
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1575
If they lose-16→ 1543
If they win+24→ 1582
If they lose-24→ 1534
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1524 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1521 · 9 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Charlie WardJames Vake
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
James Vake80%
Charlie Ward 20%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes James Vake a 80% favorite over Charlie Ward in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Charlie Ward's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1559 vs 1558), separated by just 1 points.
Charlie Ward enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
James Vake enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Charlie Ward finishes 60% of wins inside the distance, James Vake 71%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.