Charon Spain vs Ray Perales
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
19-45-0Record13-22-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
5'9"Height5'10"
TBDReachTBD
160 lbsWeight170 lbs
Gravity Fitness CenterTeamPrimal Tribe Fighting Club
What's at stake
Ray Perales is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +10 while a loss costs more — Charon Spain carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+14→ 1344
If they lose-10→ 1320
If they win+10→ 1397
If they lose-14→ 1373
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1526 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1477 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Charon SpainRay Perales
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Charon Spain59%
Ray Perales 41%Elo baseline: 42%
The Combat Edge model makes Charon Spain a 59% favorite over Ray Perales in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Ray Perales's way (42%).
Ray Perales holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1387 to 1330, a 57-point edge.
Charon Spain enters on a 4-fight loss streak.
Ray Perales enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Charon Spain finishes 100% of wins inside the distance, Ray Perales 54%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.