Chas Skelly vs Chris Gruetzemacher
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
19-3-0Record15-5-0
FeatherweightDivisionLightweight
5'11"Height5'8"
72"Reach68"
145 lbsWeight155 lbs
Kill Cliff FCTeam2 Knuckle Sports MMA Academy
What's at stake
Chas Skelly is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +11 while a loss costs more — Chris Gruetzemacher carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+11→ 1735
If they lose-21→ 1703
If they win+21→ 1629
If they lose-11→ 1597
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1655 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1622 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Chas SkellyChris Gruetzemacher
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Chas Skelly76%
Chris Gruetzemacher 24%Elo baseline: 66%
The Combat Edge model makes Chas Skelly a 76% favorite over Chris Gruetzemacher in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (66%).
Chas Skelly holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1724 to 1608, a 116-point edge.
Chas Skelly enters on a 2-fight win streak.
Chas Skelly finishes 74% of wins inside the distance, Chris Gruetzemacher 67%.
Chas Skelly carries a 4-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.