Combat Edge Intelligence

Chas Skelly vs Darren Elkins

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Chas Skelly
us

Chas Skelly

“The Scrapper”

19-3-0FeatherweightUFC

1724Good

Tale of the tape

19-3-0Record29-12-0
FeatherweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'11"Height5'10"
72"Reach71"
145 lbsWeight145 lbs
Kill Cliff FCTeamDuneland Vale Tudo

What's at stake

Chas Skelly is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +15 while a loss costs more — Darren Elkins carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Chas SkellyNow 1724
If they win+15→ 1739
If they lose-17→ 1707
Darren ElkinsNow 1699
If they win+13→ 1712
If they lose-11→ 1688

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1655 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1652 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

2.01
Sig. strikes / min
3.40
41%
Strike accuracy
38%
3.21
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.22
49%
Strike defense
52%
1.74
Takedown avg.
2.86
34%
Takedown accuracy
35%
39%
Takedown defense
56%
2.27
Submission avg.
1.08

Trajectory

Chas SkellyDarren Elkins
1700202020212022202320242025

Win method breakdown

4 (21%)
KO/TKO
9 (31%)
10 (53%)
Submission
6 (21%)
5 (26%)
Decision
14 (48%)

Combat Edge model read

Chas Skelly70%
Darren Elkins 30%Elo baseline: 54%

The Combat Edge model makes Chas Skelly a 70% favorite over Darren Elkins in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (54%).

Chas Skelly holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1724 to 1699, a 25-point edge.

Chas Skelly enters on a 2-fight win streak.

Chas Skelly finishes 74% of wins inside the distance, Darren Elkins 52%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.