
Chas Skelly vs Jason Knight
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
What's at stake
Chas Skelly is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +14 while a loss costs more — Jason Knight carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
The Combat Edge model makes Chas Skelly a 64% favorite over Jason Knight in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (57%).
Chas Skelly holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1724 to 1676, a 48-point edge.
Chas Skelly enters on a 2-fight win streak.
Chas Skelly finishes 74% of wins inside the distance, Jason Knight 83%.
Chas Skelly and Jason Knight share 1 common opponent: Bobby Moffett.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.