Combat Edge Intelligence

Chas Skelly vs Jordan Griffin

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Chas Skelly
us

Chas Skelly

“The Scrapper”

19-3-0FeatherweightUFC

1724Good
Jordan Griffin
us

Jordan Griffin

“The Native Psycho”

19-11-0FeatherweightOFP

1627Solid

Tale of the tape

19-3-0Record19-11-0
FeatherweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'11"Height5'10"
72"ReachTBD
145 lbsWeight145 lbs
Kill Cliff FCTeamRoufusport· 1700 avg Elo · 7 rated

What's at stake

Chas Skelly is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +12 while a loss costs more — Jordan Griffin carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Chas SkellyNow 1724
If they win+12→ 1736
If they lose-20→ 1704
Jordan GriffinNow 1627
If they win+15→ 1642
If they lose-9→ 1618

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1655 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1593 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

2.01
Sig. strikes / min
2.52
41%
Strike accuracy
47%
3.21
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.02
49%
Strike defense
50%
1.74
Takedown avg.
1.45
34%
Takedown accuracy
35%
39%
Takedown defense
42%
2.27
Submission avg.
1.86

Trajectory

Chas SkellyJordan Griffin
16001650170020202021202220232024

Win method breakdown

4 (21%)
KO/TKO
6 (32%)
10 (53%)
Submission
9 (47%)
5 (26%)
Decision
4 (21%)

Combat Edge model read

Chas Skelly78%
Jordan Griffin 22%Elo baseline: 64%

The Combat Edge model makes Chas Skelly a 78% favorite over Jordan Griffin in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (64%).

Chas Skelly holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1724 to 1627, a 97-point edge.

Chas Skelly enters on a 2-fight win streak.

Chas Skelly finishes 74% of wins inside the distance, Jordan Griffin 79%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.