Chas Skelly vs Kevin Souza
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
19-3-0Record17-7-0
FeatherweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'11"Height6'0"
72"Reach44.00
145 lbsWeight145 lbs
Kill Cliff FCTeamDS Team
What's at stake
Chas Skelly is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +10 while a loss costs more — Kevin Souza carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+10→ 1734
If they lose-22→ 1702
If they win+33→ 1615
If they lose-15→ 1567
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1655 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1629 · 4 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Chas SkellyKevin Souza
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Chas Skelly78%
Kevin Souza 22%Elo baseline: 69%
The Combat Edge model makes Chas Skelly a 78% favorite over Kevin Souza in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (69%).
Chas Skelly holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1724 to 1582, a 142-point edge.
Chas Skelly enters on a 2-fight win streak.
Chas Skelly finishes 74% of wins inside the distance, Kevin Souza 88%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.