Combat Edge Intelligence

Chas Skelly vs Mark Striegl

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Chas Skelly
us

Chas Skelly

“The Scrapper”

19-3-0FeatherweightUFC

1724Good

Tale of the tape

19-3-0Record18-5-0
FeatherweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'11"Height5'8"
72"Reach70"
145 lbsWeight145 lbs
Kill Cliff FCTeamRound 1 MMA

What's at stake

Chas Skelly is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +10 while a loss costs more — Mark Striegl carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Chas SkellyNow 1724
If they win+10→ 1734
If they lose-22→ 1702
Mark StrieglNow 1594
If they win+22→ 1616
If they lose-10→ 1584

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1655 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1543 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

2.01
Sig. strikes / min
1.40
41%
Strike accuracy
46%
3.21
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
4.07
49%
Strike defense
41%
1.74
Takedown avg.
0
34%
Takedown accuracy
0%
39%
Takedown defense
67%
2.27
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Chas SkellyMark Striegl
1600165017002020202120222023

Win method breakdown

4 (21%)
KO/TKO
0 (0%)
10 (53%)
Submission
14 (78%)
5 (26%)
Decision
4 (22%)

Combat Edge model read

Chas Skelly78%
Mark Striegl 22%Elo baseline: 68%

The Combat Edge model makes Chas Skelly a 78% favorite over Mark Striegl in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (68%).

Chas Skelly holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1724 to 1594, a 130-point edge.

Chas Skelly enters on a 2-fight win streak.

Mark Striegl enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Chas Skelly finishes 74% of wins inside the distance, Mark Striegl 78%.

Chas Skelly carries a 2-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.